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Signals are computed from live public market data and are informational only.

Live Signals

Signal-ranked markets
MarketCategoryOddsVolumeLiquiditySource
Will Romania win the UEFA EURO 2028?
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 1.1%
No: 99%
$1,000$31,542Gamma + CLOB
Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
General
Yes: 0.1%
No: 100%
$1,000$1,024Gamma + CLOB
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 2?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
General
Yes: 0.6%
No: 99.4%
$100$470Gamma + CLOB
Will Los Angeles Chargers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards?
This market will resolve in favor of the team that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards (yards tracked across kickoff and punt returns). In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team with more return touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with a higher average yards per return during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which team led the NFL in return yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 2.1%
No: 97.9%
$10$205Gamma + CLOB
Will Tua Tagovailoa win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 2.1%
No: 98%
$10$126Gamma + CLOB
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 2?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
General
Yes: 3%
No: 97%
$100$426Gamma + CLOB
Spread: Venezia FC (-2.5)
In the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for September 2 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Udinese Calcio". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
General
Venezia FC: 2.4%
Udinese Calcio: 97.6%
$10$1,486Gamma + CLOB
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
General
Yes: 3.1%
No: 96.9%
$999$428Gamma + CLOB
Will Philadelphia Eagles finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards?
This market will resolve in favor of the team that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards (yards tracked across kickoff and punt returns). In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team with more return touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with a higher average yards per return during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which team led the NFL in return yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 3%
No: 97.1%
$10$222Gamma + CLOB
Will Michael Penix Jr. win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 2.4%
No: 97.7%
$10$250Gamma + CLOB
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)
In the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for September 3 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hellas Verona FC" if Hellas Verona FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
General
Hellas Verona FC: 3.8%
Cagliari Calcio: 96.3%
$10$528Gamma + CLOB
Spread: Mantova 1911 (-2.5)
In the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for September 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mantova 1911" if Mantova 1911 win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Palermo FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
General
Mantova 1911: 3.8%
Palermo FC: 96.3%
$10$179Gamma + CLOB
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)
In the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for September 2 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Udinese Calcio" if Udinese Calcio win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Venezia FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
General
Udinese Calcio: 10%
Venezia FC: 90%
$10$1,706Gamma + CLOB
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
General
Yes: 10.4%
No: 89.7%
$99,918$1,737Gamma + CLOB
Spread: Palermo FC (-2.5)
In the upcoming Coppa Italia game, scheduled for September 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Palermo FC" if Palermo FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mantova 1911". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
General
Palermo FC: 10.5%
Mantova 1911: 89.5%
$10$173Gamma + CLOB
Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards Christian McCaffrey records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 1,374.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Christian McCaffrey does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards Christian McCaffrey recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 13%
No: 87%
$100$228Gamma + CLOB
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?
The 2026 RI-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 RI-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 14%
No: 86%
$100$384Gamma + CLOB
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
General
Yes: 81.5%
No: 18.5%
$99,921$7,104Gamma + CLOB
Will Donald Trump visit Portugal in 2026?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
General
Yes: 22.5%
No: 77.5%
$10$89Gamma + CLOB
Will Tre Tucker have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving yards Tre Tucker records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 774.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tre Tucker does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving yards Tre Tucker recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General
Yes: 24.5%
No: 75.5%
$100$210Gamma + CLOB